Monday, September 24, 2018

Brexit: A Wakeup Call or Just Another Hiccup in the Transatlantic Relationship?

By Efthymia Eleftheria Fotou and Francisca Costa Reis

This blog post was written for the course "Current Issues in Global and EU Affairs", which took place from February 12-April 30, 2018.

Stock image of a handshake in front of a blue background with European Union stars on it. The arm for the left hand has a sleeve with an American flag printed on it, and the arm for the right hand has a sleeve with the Union Jack printed on it.
Since its early days NATO has been a cornerstone of both the transatlantic relationship and European defense. Now that the United Kingdom, one of NATO’s biggest advocates within the EU, is set to leave the Union, the question remains how Brexit will affect the transatlantic bond.

Evaluating the possible impact of Brexit on European and transatlantic security, it seems unlikely that a British exit from NATO would occur. The accession of the United Kingdom to the EU was not made with a strong commitment to the CSDP, however London has always been willing to contribute to the North Atlantic Trade Organization, firstly because NATO's transatlantic dimension has always matched the geopolitical direction of London and secondly because membership in the Alliance secured the national sovereignty of the UK.

So what are possible scenarios for transatlantic security in the wake of Brexit?


On the one hand, the withdrawal of the United Kingdom from the EU might give the opportunity to France, and to other EU countries with a large military power such as Germany, Italy and Spain, to rejoin the effort to balance the EU's military structures. The recent decision by EU member states to invest in shared capability projects as well as joint missions under PESCO has already confirmed this scenario. On the other hand we should keep in mind that the UK is the biggest spender on defense in Europe and its withdrawal from the EU will certainly have an impact in the field of security and defense.


On the other side of the Atlantic, the United States might see Brexit among long-standing fears that Europe will continue to exploit the security relief provided through NATO. This could trigger anxiety in the US Europe's inability to cope with its peripheral security issues, as for example in the Middle East, North Africa and the Eastern neighborhood. However, the US also benefits from a strong and coherent EU in order to achieve common goals of the transatlantic relationship. In this sense, PESCO could be seen as a positive development, whereby the EU signals to the United States that they are responding to recurring demands for stronger transatlantic burden sharing by enhancing the defense capabilities of EU Member States.

Which one of the described scenarios will play out can only be revealed by time. It will be interesting to observe whether Brexit will drive the transatlantic alliance further apart or if it will be a catalyst for deeper EU defense integration and transatlantic cooperation.

Monday, September 10, 2018

When the Pursuit of Petrol Gets out of Control: BP and the Deepwater Horizon Disaster

By Danilo Dovgoborets and Weibin Han

This blog post was written for the course "Current Issues in Global and EU Affairs", which took place from February 12-April 30, 2018.

Satellite image of green coastline and dark blue water, with a large gold oil slick visible in the middle of the frame.
NASA image of Deepwater Horizon oil spill
In 1859, Edwin Drake’s oil wells in Pennsylvania opened a new chapter in history of energy consumption, as the industrial scale petroleum production took over the roles of other fuels and  replaced the previously prosperous American whale oil industry.

BP (British Petroleum) represents one of the most entrenched transatlantic business relations with its largest division located in America. The company started in 1908, when William D’Arcy gambled all his fortunes on an oil rig in Persia. BP gradually became a multinational company as it acquired projects from India to Egypt to Trinidad. For a long time the company seemed invincible, until in April 2010 the Deepwater Horizon explosion struck the Gulf of Mexico off the coast of Louisiana. The disaster caused sinking of the oil rig and the worst oil spill in U.S. history. Eleven workers died in the explosion and more than 4 million barrels of oil were released into the sensitive marine environment. Scientists have estimated that the spill caused more than US$17 billion in damages to natural resources.

Photo of emergency response vessels directing hoses at the Deepwater Horizon oil rig, which is producing a column of fire and black smoke.
US Coast Guard image of Deepwater Horizon rig fire
The incident highlighted the intricacies of globalization, as BP leased an oil platform from Switzerland-based Transocean and enlisted Houston-based Halliburton as contractor to work on Deepwater Horizon. It was a tall order to untangle and clarify each party’s roles and responsibilities when the disaster happened, but eventually BP took the largest hit as total cost for compensations, penalties, clean-up efforts and legal claims amounted to USD 65 billion as of January 2018.

The disastrous environmental impact resulted in the Obama administration’s decision to pass new bills on offshore drilling regulations. However, things are starting to change as a pro-business administration took over from Obama in early 2017. The Trump administration wants to increase domestic production by “reducing the regulatory burden on industry”, and proposed opening virtually all U.S. waters to offshore drilling. However, according to Donald Boesch who served on the bipartisan National Commission that investigated the causes of the blowout, such a shift will put workers and the environment at risk, and ignores the painful lessons of the Deepwater Horizon disaster.

With a conservative and populist view, Trump may bring a radical change to the U.S. energy policy, as was already indicated with his announcement to withdraw from the Paris climate agreement signed by the Obama administration. Will the resumption of offshore drilling squeeze the renewable and clean energy sector in the U.S.? If lessons from the BP disaster are to be learned, Europe and the U.S. have to work on joint initiatives to increase the proportion of renewable energy from an industry and business perspective. This question requires a thorough discussion and consensus-building for a closer partnership in the renewable energy sector on both sides of the Atlantic. Both business interests and environmental protection would be best advanced by a clear, transparent and thoroughly considered regulatory framework.